Mourinho Backs Benfica: Why the Eagles Are Live Underdogs Against Real Madrid

By Oddixa — 2026-02-17

José Mourinho insists that Benfica possesses the tactical quality to upset Real Madrid in the Champions League, suggesting the betting markets may be overvaluing the Spanish giants.

The 'Special One' is stirring the pot ahead of a massive European clash, as José Mourinho has publically backed Benfica to pull off an upset against Real Madrid. Despite Real Madrid’s historical dominance in the UEFA Champions League, Mourinho argues that Benfica does not require a 'miracle' to advance. His confidence stems from the Portuguese side’s tactical discipline and their recent history of punching above their weight on the continental stage. For bettors, this adds an intriguing layer to the match narrative, as Mourinho’s insights often highlight where the market might be mispricing an underdog.

From a betting perspective, Real Madrid will almost certainly open as heavy favorites, but Mourinho’s assessment suggests value could be found in the Asian Handicap or Double Chance markets for Benfica. If the Eagles can replicate the high-press and transition play that Mourinho expects, they could frustrate a Madrid side that occasionally struggles with defensive consistency in the group stages. Keep a close eye on the 'To Qualify' odds; if the public pours money into Real Madrid, the price on Benfica could become an incredibly attractive value play for those looking to fade the favorites.