A New Frontrunner for No. 1? Mel Kiper Jr. Makes the Case for Fernando Mendoza

By Oddixa — 2026-02-18

Draft expert Mel Kiper Jr. identifies Fernando Mendoza as a legitimate candidate for the top overall pick, potentially solving the Las Vegas Raiders' long-term quarterback woes.

The NFL Draft landscape is shifting, and Mel Kiper Jr. is leading the charge for a new name at the top of the board: Cal quarterback Fernando Mendoza. While some skeptics remain hesitant to crown him as the definitive QB1, Kiper dismissed the pushback during a recent appearance on The Rich Eisen Show, arguing that Mendoza’s physical tools and poise make him a worthy candidate for the No. 1 overall selection. For bettors looking at early 2025 Draft props, this endorsement is a major signal that the market for 'First Player Taken' could be more wide-open than previously anticipated.

A primary focus of the discussion revolved around the Las Vegas Raiders, a team desperate for a franchise signal-caller. The Raiders have struggled to find consistency under center, and with a roster that features elite weapons like Davante Adams, a high-upside prospect like Mendoza could be the missing piece to make them competitive in the AFC West. From a betting perspective, if the Raiders continue to slide in the standings, their odds of drafting a quarterback early become a near-certainty. Mendoza’s rising stock suggests he could be the value play for those betting on which quarterback will be the first off the board, especially if he continues to impress scouts with his decision-making and arm talent.